Is Herman Cain A Viable Presidential Candidate?

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Was Herman Cain’s resounding first place finish in the Florida Straw Poll (Cain 37%; Rick Perry – 15%; Mitt Romney – 14%) a sign that Republicans believe in his candidacy? Or, did his win reflect voter dissatisfaction with his rivals?

Mr. Cain has done extremely well in recent debates and, other than a few missteps (openly admitting his lack of foreign policy knowledge, for example), has adroitly handled media interviews. Plus, most of his policy positions align nicely with the influential tea party movement:

  • National Security: Cain considers protecting the people as the President’s primary duty. Further, he vows to ensure that our military and all of our security agencies are strong and capable.
  • Spending: A deficit hawk, he promises that every federal agency, program and expenditure will be reviewed and revised with a keen eye and a red pen.
  • Immigration: Cain favors securing our borders, enforcing our laws and promoting the existing path to citizenship.
  • Energy: He believes the Left has forced excessive environmental regulations that have stifled domestic energy production and forced Americans to rely too heavily upon foreign oil.
  • Health Care: Cain feels the role of the federal government is to encourage economic growth by ensuring conditions that will allow businesses to thrive, not just survive.
  • Economy: He wants to repeal and replace Obamacare with patient-centered, free market reforms.

Finally, Mr. Cain’s “999″ plan — which calls for a 9% business flat tax, a 9% individual flat tax, and a 9% national sales tax — truly excites fiscal conservatives. Cain sees this shift from taxes on income to taxes on consumption as the first step to implementing the long desired “Fair Tax,” and alleviating the $430 billion burden that tax compliance, enforcement, collection imposes on the US economy.

Critics on both the right and left worry that Cain’s plan would significantly boost taxes on the working poor, and question the impact a national sales tax would have on strapped state and local governments which rely on the same type of taxes.

Cain’s lack of government experience also concerns many. Washington isn’t a hospitable environment for on-the-job training, particularly with the myriad of social, economic and foreign crises we now face. And, unlike his days running Godfathers Pizza, his “underlings” won’t unquestioningly follow every directive. He’ll have to get up to speed quickly on political power plays, back room deals and, yes, even compromise.

So, is Herman Cain a viable candidate for President of the United States? So far, so good.

But he shouldn’t count his pizzas before they’re cooked.

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Update On Rick Perry’s Presidential Chances

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Is Rick Perry riding to the rescue or riding off into the sunset?

With poor performances in recent candidate debates and unsatisfactory explanations for controversial initiatives, Governor Perry has gone from a 13 point August lead to a three to seven point deficit in recent polls. In fact, he trails both Mitt Romney and Herman Cain by five points in the 10/2/11 CBS News poll (Romney – 17%, Cain – 17%, Perry – 12%).

Are debate gaffes the only reason Perry’s numbers are declining? While his opponents understandably attack his characterization of Social Security as a “Ponzi scheme,” his executive order mandating that Texas girls receive the HPV vaccine and his ongoing support for providing in-state tuition to the children of illegal immigrants, are these stances why Republican voters are turning away?

Many think his weak debates are a symptom of deeper problems. On a recent “Fox & Friends” appearance, former Republican candidate Mike Huckabee thought Perry looked dumbfounded at an immigration question he should have seen coming. Huckabee indicate that Perry’s apparent exhaustion proved the he “is not prepared for the pressure of the presidential stage.”

Perry’s handling of Texas’s economy has also come under scrutiny. Despite the number of new jobs created, 23 states have a lower unemployment rate than Texas (8.2% in August). According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, 9.5% of hourly-paid workers in Texas are paid at or below minimum wage (the national percentage is 6.0%). Plus, the state’s poverty level continues to increase (from 15.1% in 2009 to 18.4% in 2010).

Others are questioning whether Perry’s strong social conservatism and its influence on his policy making might turn off independent and moderate voters.

Perry is staunchly pro-life and opposes government funding for elective abortions. As governor, Perry signed the Prenatal Protection Act – which explicitly included fetuses in its definition of human life – and another bills that limited late-term abortions, required girls under the age of 18 to notify their parents before having an abortion, and required providers to offer informational brochures to women considering abortion.

Perry has also stated that he believes in the inerrancy of the Bible and that those who don’t accept Jesus as their savior will go to hell. He also describes himself “a firm believer in intelligent design as a matter of faith and intellect,” and has expressed support for its teaching alongside evolution in Texas schools.

No one said that running for president would be easy. Especially when your debating skills are lacking, your economic record is uneven, and your religious views are considered extreme by a majority of the electorate.

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Why Does The Media Ignore Ron Paul While Paying Attention To Tim Pawlenty?

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Congressman Ron Paul

Garnering media attention is the lifeblood of any presidential campaign. For positive poll results, and the critical campaign contributions that flow from them, face time crucial to any aspiring candidate.

So, why do certain presidential candidates generate more coverage than others? For example, why is Texas Congressman Ron Paul largely ignored by the media while former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty is not?

It’s certainly not because Paul isn’t accomplished or controversial. A ten-term Congressman, retired obstetrician (who delivered over 4,000 babies) and strict constitutionalist, Paul was nicknamed “Dr. No” by his colleagues both for his medical degree and for his promise never to vote for any measure not expressly authorized by the constitution.

Devotion to the constitution wins no points with the media, given their ambivalence to President Obama’s selective adherence (not seeking Congressional approval for military action in Libya, continuing to implement Obamacare despite the law’s individual mandate being declared unconstitutional by US District Court Judge Roger Vinson, etc.).

But, Paul’s opposition to the Iraq invasion (he voted against the 2002 Iraq War Resolution) should curry some media favor. Paul is staunchly noninterventionist, and a vigorous defender of US national sovereignty. He advocates withdraw from NATO and the UN, increased border security, denial of welfare to illegal aliens, and the end of birthright citizenship. Plus, he’d like to eliminate most federal bureaucracies, along with the Federal Reserve.

Governor Pawlenty is more of a mainstream conservative, who favors low taxes, limited government, free trade, expanded domestic oil production and gun owner rights, and opposes abortion on demand, nationalized healthcare, same-sex marriage and premature withdrawal from Iraq and Afghanistan.

Though not as extreme as some of Congressman Paul’s Libertarian stances, Governor Pawlenty’s views are strongly opposed by many in the mainstream media. So, again, why is he covered more extensively?

Could it be that Pawlenty’s a better orator than Paul? Or, that the media is more practiced at attacking Pawlenty’s positions than Paul’s? Or, that Pawlenty’s not perceived as being much of a threat to defeat President Obama? It’s a difficult question.

Almost as difficult as facing the fact that some of Paul’s “extreme” positions are precisely what are needed to correct many of our country’s problems.

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Public Trough’s Presidential Measuring Stick

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Five of the most pressing issues a Presidential candidate must address are:

1. How to control, and reduce, the size of the federal government: Federal spending increased from $2.9 trillion in 2008 to $3.55 trillion in 2010. Clearly, the size, scope and cost of government is out-of-control and unsustainable. Our next President must take steps to significantly reduce spending, even at the risk of alienating enough special interest groups, and substantially reduce the size of the federal government.

2. How to protect the country: It’s a dangerous world. We must manage our massive military budget judiciously, and look for ways to economize, but maintain our strength. Maybe we need to be looking at curbing our “policing” of the world, along with the elimination of the was in Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya.

3. How to restore our dollar: As federal spending increased 22% from 2008 to 2010, our budget deficit increased fivefold (from $239 billion to $1.2 trillion!). Soon our total public debt will exceed $14 trillion. This fiscal irresponsibility is severely weakening the dollar, and could threaten its status as the preferred international reserve currency. The President’s ability to control deficit spending will play a critical role in stabilizing the dollar. Maybe we should start with auditing the Federal Reserve.

4. How to improve education: US reading and math scores have been plummeting for years, imperiling our children’s futures and our national competitiveness. The next President must overcome the social, economic and bureaucratic obstacles preventing effective educational reform. Maybe we should start by eliminating the Department of Education and allow states to control their own education systems.

5. How to create jobs: As unemployment continues to hover between 9.5 and 10%, our new President must identify ways to reinvigorate the US economy. Reducing burdensome regulation, eliminating deficit spending and improving our educational system would be great places to start.

What are your thoughts?

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